Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘VAYU’ over East-central Arabian

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The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘VAYU’ (pronounced as VAA’YU) over Eastcentral Arabian Sea moved north-northwestwards with a speed of about 16 kmph in last six hours and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of 12th June, 2019 near latitude 18.8°N and longitude 69.9°E over Eastcentral Arabian Sea, about 310 km nearly west of Mumbai (Maharashtra), 230 km south-southwest of Veraval (Gujarat) and 310 km nearly south of Porbandar (Gujarat).

It is very likely to move nearly northwards and cross Gujarat coast between Dwarka and Veraval  as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm with wind speed 155-165 kmph gusting to 180 kmph around afternoon of 13th June 2019.

After crossing, the system is likely to move along & parallel to Saurashtra & Kutch Coast affecting Amreli, Gir Somnath, Diu, Junagarh, Porbandar, Rajkot, Jamnagar, Devbhoomi Dwarka and Kutch.  

 

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Severe Cyclonic Storm

Severe Cyclonic Storm

 

Warnings:

(i) Heavy rainfall warning: 

Sub-Divisions

12 June 2019*

13 June 2019*

14 June 2019*

Konkan& Goa

Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places

Fairly widespread rainfall

Saurashtra& Kutch

Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places

Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places

Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

South Gujarat Region

Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at a few places with heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at a few places

Note: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.

Legends:          Yellow: Be Updated; Orange- Be prepared; Red- Take action, Green: No warning

Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day

 

(ii) Wind warning

 

 

(iii) Sea condition

 

(iv) Fishermen Warning

 

(iv) Storm Surge Warning

Storm surge of height of about 1.5-2.0 m above the astronomical tides likely to inundate the low lying coastal areas of Kutch, Devbhoomi, Dwarka, Porbandar, Junagarh, Diu, Gir Somnath, Amreli and Bhavnagar districts at the time of landfall.

 

(v) Damage Expected and Action suggested for Amreli, Gir Somnath, Diu, Junagarh, Porbandar, Rajkot, Jamnagar, Devbhoomi Dwarka and Kutch:

(i) Total destruction of thatched houses/extensive damage to Kutcha houses. Some damage to pucca houses. Potential threat from flying objects.(ii) Bending/uprooting of power and communication poles. (iii) Major damage to Kutcha and Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes. Minor disruption of railways, overhead power lines and signalling systems.                  (iv) Widespread damage to standing crops, plantation, orchards, falling of green coconuts and tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down bushy trees like mango.(v) Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.(vi) Visibility severe affected.

Action suggested:

(i) Regulate road & rail traffic (ii) Total suspension of fishing operations. (iii) Evacuation from low lying areas of the above mentioned Districts, coastal Hutment dwellers, urban slum dwellers and people staying in unsafe house to safer places. People in affected areas to remain indoors.(iv) Movement in motor boats & small ships unsafe.(v) Inundation of low lying areas in the along the coasts due to heavy rainfall and storm surge.

 

 

                                                                                                ***

GK

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